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St. Georges vs Sheger Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Georges host Sheger Ketema FC in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Sheger Ketema FC have shipped 0.59 goals a game lately, while St. Georges have conceded 0.93 and scored 0.89. Past meetings favor Sheger Ketema FC slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.76) point toward Sheger Ketema FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
St. Georges
35%
Draws
41%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sheger Ketema FC have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — St. Georges are scoring more at 0.89.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 20%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Georges Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 15
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.89 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs St. Georges
1:0
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Sheger Ketema FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Georges 32 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Georges Sheger Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheger Ketema FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Georges has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: St. Georges scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Sheger Ketema FC let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

St. Georges VS Sheger Ketema FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Georges

(Home)
17 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 2
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
10 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0
St. Georges
Page 1 of 6

Sheger Ketema FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Oct
Adama City
0 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
11 Oct
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
6 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
7 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 Mechal SC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Welayta Dicha 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)