Sport Picks

Austria

Karnten 2020/2021

Saint Michael Bleiburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Jakob/Ros play Saint Michael Bleiburg in the Karnten 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Jakob/Ros averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. Saint Michael Bleiburg averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.48 conceded. In past meetings, St. Jakob/Ros won 1, Saint Michael Bleiburg won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 25, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for St. Jakob/Ros and 1.94 for Saint Michael Bleiburg. This points to a St. Jakob/Ros double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

St. Jakob/Ros

35%

Draws

27%

Saint Michael Bleiburg

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Jakob/Ros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

St. Jakob/Ros picked up more points recently compared to Saint Michael Bleiburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

St. Jakob/Ros Clean Sheet 10%

Saint Michael Bleiburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Jakob/Ros	Saint Michael Bleiburg
Matches Played	38	29
Wins	9	4
Draws	14	10
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.66	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.92	2.48
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2022 Karnten

Saint Michael Bleiburg vs St. Jakob/Ros

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:5

Oct 8, 2021 Karnten

St. Jakob/Ros vs Saint Michael Bleiburg

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Oct 7, 2020 Karnten

St. Jakob/Ros vs Saint Michael Bleiburg

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

2:2

Sep 22, 2019 Karnten

Saint Michael Bleiburg vs St. Jakob/Ros

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Mar 30, 2019 Karnten

St. Jakob/Ros vs Saint Michael Bleiburg

Possession: 60% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Jakob/Ros 36 / 100

Saint Michael Bleiburg 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Jakob/Ros Saint Michael Bleiburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Jakob/Ros or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Jakob/Ros attacking → ← attacking Saint Michael Bleiburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Jakob/Ros scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Saint Michael Bleiburg let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St. Jakob/Ros went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Saint Michael Bleiburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 22

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00