Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Johnstone vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Baur M.
Assist: Hassan H.
55'
Campbell J.
63'
Sub
Holt J. In: Stanton S.
Out: Holt J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between St Johnstone and Celtic finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St Johnstone
15%
Draws
54%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Celtic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St Johnstone are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Celtic here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Celtic
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 23
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.86 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Celtic
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Scottish Cup
St Johnstone vs Celtic
0:5
Apr 6, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Celtic
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Premiership
Celtic vs St Johnstone
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Celtic
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Baur M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 34 / 100
Celtic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Johnstone scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Celtic conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: St Johnstone stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Celtic
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
02 Aug
St Johnstone
4 : 3
Kilmarnock
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Celtic

(Away)
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
25 Aug
LASK Linz
5 : 1
Celtic
19 Aug
Celtic
3 : 0
LASK Linz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
2 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 St. Mirren 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
4 Rangers 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)