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Stadium Background

St Johnstone vs Hibernian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fowler J.
22'
Sub
Gullan J. In: Fotheringham K.
Out: Gullan J.
29' Event
Lowe N.
Assist: Chaiwa M.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between St Johnstone and Hibernian finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St Johnstone
30%
Draws
23%
Hibernian
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hibernian haven't matched St Johnstone's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on St Johnstone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 20%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Hibernian
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Hibernian
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs St Johnstone
3:0
Jan 2, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Hibernian
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Premiership
Hibernian vs St Johnstone
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Hibernian
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hibernian Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 49 / 100
Hibernian 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Hibernian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Johnstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Hibernian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St Johnstone stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Hibernian
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

Hibernian

(Away)
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Dundee Utd
1 : 0
Hibernian
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)