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St Johnstone vs Motherwell - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone host Motherwell in the Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Motherwell have shipped 1.76 goals a game lately, while St Johnstone have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, St Johnstone have won 2 to Motherwell's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.00, favoring St Johnstone. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
St Johnstone
20%
Draws
0%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Johnstone lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell.
  • Win probability leans St Johnstone's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 20%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Motherwell
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Motherwell
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premiership
Motherwell vs St Johnstone
3:2
Jan 25, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Motherwell
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Scottish Cup
St Johnstone vs Motherwell
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premiership
Motherwell vs St Johnstone
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 85 / 100
Motherwell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Johnstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: Motherwell has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Motherwell's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Motherwell
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell

(Away)
17 Oct
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Motherwell
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)