Sport Picks
St Johnstone W vs Aberdeen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Scottish Cup Women 2025 Riverside Stadium, Perth 
Match Events
24'
24'
McLean E.
31'
31'
McEvoy H.
55'
55'
Finnegan T. L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Aberdeen W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Johnstone W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
0%
/ Low Confidence
- Aberdeen W carry the better recent record into this one.
- 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Aberdeen W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aberdeen W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
- History favors Aberdeen W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St Johnstone W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Johnstone W | Aberdeen W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 22 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.87 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 3.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs St Johnstone W
3:4
Mar 9, 2025 Scottish Cup Women
St Johnstone W vs Aberdeen W
1:4
Feb 28, 2016 SWPL Cup Women
Aberdeen W vs St Johnstone W
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Johnstone W Compare
Top Goalscorer McLean E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Aberdeen W Compare
Top Goalscorer Finnegan T. L.
2 Goals Assists Leader McEvoy H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Johnstone W 34 / 100
Aberdeen W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Johnstone W Aberdeen W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberdeen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Aberdeen W conceded in 80% of 40 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Aberdeen W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
St Johnstone W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
St Johnstone W VS Aberdeen W
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St Johnstone W
(Home) 09 Aug
Renfrew W
2 : 1 St Johnstone W
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8 Montrose W
02 Aug
Aberdeen W
3 : 4 St Johnstone W
26 Jul
St Johnstone W
2 : 3 Livingston W
05 Oct
Rangers W
12 : 0 St Johnstone W
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
St Johnstone W
2 : 8 Montrose W
26 Jul
St Johnstone W
2 : 3 Livingston W
09 Mar
St Johnstone W
1 : 4 Aberdeen W
02 Feb
St Johnstone W
4 : 2 Elgin City W
01 Oct
St Johnstone W
1 : 11 Glasgow City W
Page 1 of 3
Aberdeen W
(Away) 04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0 Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2 Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3 Partick W
Page 1 of 8
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0 Aberdeen W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1 Aberdeen W
16 Aug
Hearts W
6 : 0 Aberdeen W
05 Aug
Dundee Utd W
0 : 1 Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Falkirk W 0
Hearts W 9
Glasgow City W 3
Celtic W 2
Dundee Utd W 1
Boroughmuir W 3
Motherwell W 6
Bonnyrigg Rose W 0
Rangers W 7
Montrose W 0
Spartans W 6
Kilmarnock W 0
St Johnstone W 4
Elgin City W 2
Aberdeen W 3
Hamilton W 0
Quarter-finals
Hearts W 2
Glasgow City W 3
Boroughmuir W 0
Motherwell W 3
Rangers W 2
Spartans W 0
St Johnstone W 1
Aberdeen W 4
Semi-finals
Glasgow City W 4
Motherwell W 0
Rangers W 5
Aberdeen W 0
Final
Glasgow City W 0
Rangers W 3
