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St Josephs vs Mons Calpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National League
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between St Josephs and Mons Calpe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Josephs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St Josephs
20%
Draws
33%
Mons Calpe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mons Calpe come out ahead of St Josephs on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on St Josephs taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 13%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Josephs Mons Calpe
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 3.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs St Josephs
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 National League
St Josephs vs Mons Calpe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Josephs 84 / 100
Mons Calpe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Josephs Mons Calpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Josephs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Josephs scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Mons Calpe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Solid form: St Josephs remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Josephs VS Mons Calpe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Josephs

(Home)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

Mons Calpe

(Away)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 St Josephs 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 10:11 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
8 Europa FC 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - National League (Championship Group)
Relegation - National League (Relegation Group)