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St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
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Match Events

11' Event
17' Event
28' Event

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF game between St. Liege U23 and Renaissance Mons finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Liege U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
St. Liege U23
20%
Draws
57%
Renaissance Mons
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Renaissance Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Liege U23 haven't matched Renaissance Mons's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Renaissance Mons's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Renaissance Mons have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege U23 Renaissance Mons
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
3:2
Nov 16, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
5:1
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege U23 10 / 100
Renaissance Mons 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege U23 Renaissance Mons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

St. Liege U23 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Renaissance Mons's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Solid form: St. Liege U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege U23 VS Renaissance Mons
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege U23

(Home)
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
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Renaissance Mons

(Away)
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Renaissance Mons
4 : 0
Flenu
26 Sept
Londerzeel
0 : 4
Renaissance Mons
20 Sept
Onhaye
2 : 5
Renaissance Mons
12 Sept
Renaissance Mons
2 : 2
Tubize-Braine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 RWDM Brussels 7 5 1 1 11:6 16
3 Union Rochefortoise 7 4 2 1 14:7 14
4 Tubize-Braine 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
5 St. Gilloise 2 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Renaissance Mons 7 3 1 3 16:13 10
7 Charleroi B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
8 OC Charleroi 7 2 2 3 9:16 8
9 St. Liege U23 7 2 1 4 8:6 7
10 Onhaye 7 2 0 5 9:16 6
11 Habay La Neuve 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
12 Flenu 7 0 1 6 8:21 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)