Sport Picks
St. Liege U23 vs Union Rochefortoise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belgium
National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade de la Cite de l’Oie, Visé 
Match Events
69'
69'
Azevedo-Janelas N.
AI Match Summary
The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between St. Liege U23 and Union Rochefortoise finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Rochefortoise.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Rochefortoise
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Rochefortoise come out ahead of St. Liege U23 on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Union Rochefortoise here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Union Rochefortoise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Liege U23 | Union Rochefortoise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Union Rochefortoise
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Union Rochefortoise
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Union Rochefortoise vs St. Liege U23
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Liege U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Union Rochefortoise Compare
Top Goalscorer Azevedo-Janelas N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Liege U23 35 / 100
Union Rochefortoise 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Liege U23 Union Rochefortoise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Rochefortoise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Union Rochefortoise conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
St. Liege U23 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
St. Liege U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Liege U23 VS Union Rochefortoise
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Liege U23
(Home) 07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2 Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0 St. Liege U23
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0 St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0 St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1 Meux
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2 Renaissance Mons
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1 Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1 Tubize-Braine
10 May
St. Liege U23
1 : 1 Crossing Schaerbeek
19 Apr
St. Liege U23
3 : 0 Stockay-Warfusee
Page 1 of 3
Union Rochefortoise
(Away) 03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0 St. Liege U23
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Union Rochefortoise
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2 Lierse SK
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1 Charleroi B
12 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 2 Onhaye
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 1 Union Rochefortoise
05 Sept
Tubize-Braine
1 : 4 Union Rochefortoise
26 Aug
St. Gilloise 2
0 : 2 Union Rochefortoise
04 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 3 Union Rochefortoise
10 May
Tubize-Braine
3 : 2 Union Rochefortoise
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tubize-Braine | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 49:20 | 47 |
| 2 | Virton | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 61:35 | 47 |
| 3 | Renaissance Mons | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 4 | Meux | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Habay La Neuve | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 38:35 | 36 |
| 6 | Union Rochefortoise | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:40 | 31 |
| 7 | Charleroi B | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 36:38 | 30 |
| 8 | Stockay-Warfusee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:35 | 26 |
| 9 | St. Gilloise 2 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Namur | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 30:50 | 16 |
| 11 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24:44 | 16 |
| 12 | St. Liege U23 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | 15 |
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
