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St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Liege host Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Cercle Brugge have shipped 2.14 goals a game lately, while St. Liege have conceded 0.63 and scored 2.63. Head-to-head, St. Liege have won 2 to Cercle Brugge's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 0.89, favoring St. Liege. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Liege
6%
Draws
4%
Cercle Brugge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Cercle Brugge.
  • Win probability leans St. Liege's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 20%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Cercle Brugge
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Liege
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Liege
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge
1:0
Jan 26, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Liege
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 85 / 100
Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Cercle Brugge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Cercle Brugge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

St. Liege went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Cercle Brugge
2.63 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
11 Jul
St. Liege
1 : 0
Francs Borains
08 Jul
RFC Aubel
0 : 4
St. Liege
Page 1 of 7

Cercle Brugge

(Away)
25 Jul
Reims
3 : 0
Cercle Brugge
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1
Lommel SK
09 May
RAAL La Louviere
4 : 1
Cercle Brugge
01 May
Cercle Brugge
2 : 3
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)