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St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Abid A.
38'
Konate V.
41' Event
Mondele L.
Assist: Vanzeir D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
St. Liege
15%
Draws
12%
Cercle Brugge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Cercle Brugge.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 15%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Cercle Brugge
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Liege
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Liege
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Cercle Brugge
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Eckert D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondele L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ravych C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 30 / 100
Cercle Brugge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Cercle Brugge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

St. Liege's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cercle Brugge lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Cercle Brugge
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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Cercle Brugge

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
9 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
10 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
11 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
12 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)