Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Liege vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferri I.
38'
Lapage A.
46'
Sub
Lapage A. In: Ourega D.
Out: Lapage A.

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Liege
6%
Draws
4%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Model gives St. Liege a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Westerlo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:2
May 24, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ourega D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 95 / 100
Westerlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Liege scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Westerlo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

St. Liege went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Westerlo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
11 Jul
St. Liege
1 : 0
Francs Borains
08 Jul
RFC Aubel
0 : 4
St. Liege
Page 1 of 6

Westerlo

(Away)
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)