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St. Liege vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

1 - 2
FT
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferri I.
38'
Lapage A.
46'
Sub
Lapage A. In: Ourega D.
Out: Lapage A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St. Liege
30%
Draws
23%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Liege have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Model gives St. Liege a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Westerlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:2
May 24, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkada T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ourega D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 68 / 100
Westerlo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Liege scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Westerlo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Westerlo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Westerlo
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
01 Aug
St. Liege
0 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
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Westerlo

(Away)
08 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 5
Royale Union SG
01 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 2
Samsunspor
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)