Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alastuey J.
Penalty Missed
34' Event
Alastuey J.
46'
Sub
Bery J. In: Watt E.
Out: Bery J.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between St. Louis City 2 and Austin FC II finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St. Louis City 2
6%
Draws
90%
Austin FC II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin FC II come out ahead of St. Louis City 2 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Austin FC II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II
0:2
May 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
2:4
Mar 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Alastuey J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danciutiu V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
Austin FC II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Austin FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Louis City 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Austin FC II conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Austin FC II has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Austin FC II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City 2

(Home)
26 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
18 Jul
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
11 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
05 Jul
North Texas
3 : 0
St. Louis City 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC II

(Away)
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4
Austin FC II
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
2New England Revolution II19120728:2236
3New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
4CT United FC19110835:3331
5New York City II1890929:2928
6Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
7Toronto FC II20801231:3825
8FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Chattanooga20130739:3037
3Orlando City B20120840:3435
4Atlanta United 2201001044:3334
5Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
6Huntsville City19901032:3528
7Carolina Core22701530:4023
8Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
2Ventura County20120837:2735
3Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
4Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
5San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
6Real Monarchs201001031:3626
7Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
4Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
5North Texas18801029:2326
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy19140547:2740
2Columbus Crew 220140636:3139
3Chattanooga20130739:3037
4New England Revolution II19120728:2236
5Orlando City B20120840:3435
6Atlanta United 2201001044:3334
7New York Red Bulls II201001040:3232
8CT United FC19110835:3331
9Chicago Fire II19100934:2830
10New York City II1890929:2928
11Huntsville City19901032:3528
12Philadelphia Union II20901121:2726
13Toronto FC II20801231:3825
14Carolina Core22701530:4023
15FC Cincinnati 219601319:3616
16Inter Miami II18201616:468
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II19140541:1744
2Houston Dynamo 218150340:1642
3Portland Timbers 220130726:2340
4Ventura County20120837:2735
5Los Angeles FC 219100930:3231
6Tacoma Defiance201001025:2730
7St. Louis City 2201001031:3330
8Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
9San Jose Earthquakes II1890937:2328
10North Texas18801029:2326
11Real Monarchs201001031:3626
12Vancouver Whitecaps 221701426:4519
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 220301718:3912
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)