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St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dobrijevic S.
Penalty Missed
17' Event
Sall I.
39'
Thomas R.

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
St. Louis City 2
15%
Draws
68%
Austin FC II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austin FC II lately — more wins on the board than St. Louis City 2.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Austin FC II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 22
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.65 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II
0:2
Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II
0:2
May 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sall I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abarca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 23 / 100
Austin FC II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Austin FC II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Austin FC II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

St. Louis City 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Austin FC II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City 2

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 7

Austin FC II

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)