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St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 CITYPARK
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dorsey L.
Assist: Kabia A.
59'
Sub
Kidd M. In: Glover C.
Out: Kidd M.
63'
Sub
Niang B. In: Farris J.
Out: Niang B.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between St. Louis City 2 and Minnesota United 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St. Louis City 2
6%
Draws
90%
Minnesota United 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Minnesota United 2's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what St. Louis City 2 have produced (1.13).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Minnesota United 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Minnesota United 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs St. Louis City 2
5:2
May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs St. Louis City 2
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsey L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Randell D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
Minnesota United 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Minnesota United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Minnesota United 2 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Minnesota United 2 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Minnesota United 2
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Carolina Core1
New England Revolution II0
Chicago Fire II1
Philadelphia Union II2
FC Cincinnati 21
Chattanooga0
Huntsville City2
San Jose Earthquakes II3
North Texas0
Colorado Rapids 23
Vancouver Whitecaps 22
St. Louis City 23
Ventura County0
Real Monarchs1
Minnesota United 22
Quarter-finals
New York Red Bulls II5
Chicago Fire II3
Philadelphia Union II1
Huntsville City0
San Jose Earthquakes II2
Colorado Rapids 24
St. Louis City 20
Minnesota United 22
Semi-finals
New York Red Bulls II2
Philadelphia Union II1
Colorado Rapids 22
Minnesota United 21
Final
New York Red Bulls II4
Colorado Rapids 23