Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro CITYPARK

St. Louis City 2

2 - 0

North Texas

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

De Gannes A.

39'

Critchley D.

47'

Charles I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between St. Louis City 2 and North Texas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

St. Louis City 2

17%

Draws

70%

North Texas

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

North Texas haven't matched St. Louis City 2's recent run of results.
70% — that's where the model lands on North Texas taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and St. Louis City 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

North Texas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Louis City 2	North Texas
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	16	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Aug 17, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Jun 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Mar 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joyner M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

North Texas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 14 / 100

North Texas 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Louis City 2 North Texas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTX Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

North Texas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

North Texas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS North Texas

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12