Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

St. Louis City 2

2 - 0

North Texas

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

De Gannes A.

39'

Critchley D.

47'

Charles I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between St. Louis City 2 and North Texas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

St. Louis City 2

15%

Draws

64%

North Texas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

St. Louis City 2 have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — North Texas are scoring more at 1.6.
64% — that's where the model lands on North Texas taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 17%

North Texas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Louis City 2	North Texas
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	0	0
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1.55	1.6
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas

1:2

Jul 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs St. Louis City 2

3:0

May 30, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas

2:0

Aug 17, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs St. Louis City 2

1:3

Jun 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs North Texas

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joyner M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

North Texas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 23 / 100

North Texas 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Louis City 2 North Texas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

North Texas let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

St. Louis City 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS North Texas

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City 2

(Home)

20 Sept

St. Louis City 2

0 : 2

Austin FC II

14 Sept

Portland Timbers 2

2 : 1

St. Louis City 2

06 Sept

Sporting Kansas City II

1 : 2

St. Louis City 2

29 Aug

St. Louis City 2

1 : 2

North Texas

23 Aug

St. Louis City 2

2 : 3

Houston Dynamo 2

Page 1 of 7

North Texas

(Away)

20 Sept

Colorado Rapids 2

2 : 1

North Texas

14 Sept

North Texas

1 : 0

Houston Dynamo 2

10 Sept

North Texas

2 : 3

Houston Dynamo 2

05 Sept

North Texas

4 : 1

Real Monarchs

29 Aug

St. Louis City 2

1 : 2

North Texas

Page 1 of 6