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St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City host Portland Timbers in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. St. Louis City have averaged 2.21 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Portland Timbers's 1.89 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, St. Louis City have won 2 to Portland Timbers's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward St. Louis City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
St. Louis City
30%
Draws
12%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Louis City come out ahead of Portland Timbers on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Louis City a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 17%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Portland Timbers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City
2:2
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Jun 8, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City
4:4
Aug 10, 2024 Leagues Cup
St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 57 / 100
Portland Timbers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Portland Timbers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

St. Louis City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Portland Timbers
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)
22 Oct
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
St. Louis City
17 Oct
Minnesota United
3 : 2
St. Louis City
15 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
11 Oct
St. Louis City
6 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers

(Away)
18 Oct
Portland Timbers
0 : 0
Colorado Rapids
15 Oct
Los Angeles Galaxy
2 : 0
Portland Timbers
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1
Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 FC Cincinnati 30 10 9 11 62:71 39
9 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 30 7 12 11 38:53 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)