Sport Picks
St. Louis City vs San Diego FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO 
AI Match Summary
St. Louis City host San Diego FC in the MLS. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. San Diego FC have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while St. Louis City have conceded 1.34 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, St. Louis City have won 0 to San Diego FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.31) point toward St. Louis City. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- St. Louis City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans St. Louis City's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and San Diego FC have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Louis City | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Louis City scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
San Diego FC has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.
St. Louis City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
St. Louis City
(Home)San Diego FC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63:32 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 58:47 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 56:44 | 51 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52:45 | 48 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 48:33 | 46 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42:41 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 43:52 | 40 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 48:48 | 39 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 54:58 | 37 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47:55 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 40:57 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 37:77 | 22 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 66:23 | 70 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 51:42 | 55 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 73:53 | 55 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 55:46 | 51 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55:48 | 47 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 62:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 60:72 | 42 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 64:71 | 42 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 41:56 | 39 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 50:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 48:59 | 36 |
| 12 | New York City | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 45:43 | 35 |
| 13 | DC United | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 39:54 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | 25 |
