Sport Picks

USA

MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO

St. Louis City

2 - 3

San Jose Earthquakes

Our Tip

Match Events

Judd P.

Assist: Fernandez N.

24'

Sub

Edwards E. In: Daniel

Out: Edwards E.

46'

Sub

Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. In: Vieira R.

Out: Gonzalez Mendoza J. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between St. Louis City and San Jose Earthquakes finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

St. Louis City

Draws

San Jose Earthquakes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and San Jose Earthquakes come out ahead of St. Louis City on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

St. Louis City Clean Sheet 16%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Louis City	San Jose Earthquakes
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	17
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 MLS

St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:3

Sep 21, 2025 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City

1:3

May 31, 2025 MLS

St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:1

Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly

St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes

1:2

Sep 22, 2024 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordova S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hartel M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Werner T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 84 / 100

San Jose Earthquakes 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Louis City San Jose Earthquakes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: St. Louis City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St. Louis City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS San Jose Earthquakes

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)

23 Jul

Los Angeles Galaxy

1 : 3

St. Louis City

17 Jul

St. Louis City

3 : 2

Sporting Kansas City

23 May

St. Louis City

3 : 0

Austin FC

20 May

St. Louis City

3 : 2

Houston Dynamo

16 May

DC United

1 : 1

St. Louis City

Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes

(Away)

23 Jul

San Jose Earthquakes

0 : 4

Orlando City

04 Jul

San Jose Earthquakes

1 : 2

Club Tijuana

24 May

Portland Timbers

1 : 3

San Jose Earthquakes

21 May

Colorado Rapids

2 : 0

San Jose Earthquakes

17 May

San Jose Earthquakes

2 : 3

FC Dallas

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	15	10	2	3	37:16	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	16	10	2	4	34:19	32
3	Los Angeles FC	17	9	3	5	30:18	30
4	Real Salt Lake	15	8	2	5	27:22	26
5	FC Dallas	16	7	5	4	32:24	26
6	Seattle Sounders	15	7	3	5	19:19	24
7	Houston Dynamo	15	7	2	6	20:24	23
8	St. Louis City	16	6	4	6	22:23	22
9	Minnesota United	16	6	4	6	19:24	22
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	17	5	5	7	23:28	20
11	Colorado Rapids	16	6	1	9	26:24	19
12	Portland Timbers	16	5	3	8	29:31	18
13	San Diego FC	16	4	5	7	30:28	17
14	Austin FC	16	4	5	7	22:32	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	16	4	2	10	18:40	14

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33:11	39
2	Inter Miami	16	10	4	2	42:30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29:19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22:18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40:40	23
6	New York City	16	6	4	6	27:22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26:25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26:35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22:26	19
10	Orlando City	16	5	2	9	27:44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22:25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22:29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22:32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16:26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21:31	10

Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)