Sport Picks
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
USA
MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sub
Gomez Andrade Y. In: Kossa-Rienzi K.
Out: Gomez Andrade Y.
33'
33'
Durkin C.
44'
44'
Roldan A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between St. Louis City and Seattle Sounders finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seattle Sounders.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Louis City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Seattle Sounders carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives St. Louis City a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Seattle Sounders here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 20%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Louis City | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
4:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
0:1
May 4, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
4:1
Mar 16, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
1:0
Jul 18, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Louis City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Seattle Sounders Compare
Top Goalscorer Kossa-Rienzi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Louis City 85 / 100
Seattle Sounders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Louis City Seattle Sounders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: St. Louis City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Seattle Sounders has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
St. Louis City scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Seattle Sounders has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Louis City VS Seattle Sounders
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Louis City
(Home) 26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0 Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 : 3 St. Louis City
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0 Colorado Rapids
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
23 May
St. Louis City
3 : 0 Austin FC
20 May
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Houston Dynamo
14 May
St. Louis City
2 : 1 Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 3
Seattle Sounders
(Away) 25 Jul
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
02 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
09 Apr
Tigres UANL
2 : 0 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 37:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:18 | 33 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 33 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 23:24 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 32:25 | 26 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 31:32 | 21 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24:29 | 21 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31:28 | 20 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 26:25 | 19 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:44 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 30:22 | 26 |
| 5 | New York City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30:23 | 25 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 25 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:42 | 23 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 24:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 28:44 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:31 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:33 | 15 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:31 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:30 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)