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St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: St. Louis City at 2.11 goals for, 1.25 against; Vancouver Whitecaps at 1.94 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, St. Louis City have won 1 to Vancouver Whitecaps's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.75, favoring St. Louis City. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
St. Louis City
20%
Draws
19%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • St. Louis City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 12%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.11 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
1:3
Aug 24, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
3:2
Apr 20, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 MLS
St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:4
Jun 30, 2024 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 83 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: St. Louis City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Vancouver Whitecaps
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
20 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0 : 3
Vancouver Whitecaps
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)