Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Ownby B.
43'
43'
Williams D.
Assist: Jimenez O.
46'
46'
Sub
McMahon P. In: Charpie W.
Out: McMahon P.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship 2020 game between St. Louis FC and Louisville City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louisville City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Louis FC haven't matched Louisville City's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St. Louis FC Clean Sheet 15%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Louis FC | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
2:0
Sep 27, 2020 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs Louisville City
0:1
Sep 12, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
3:0
Aug 30, 2020 USL Championship
St. Louis FC vs Louisville City
1:1
Jul 19, 2020 USL Championship
Louisville City vs St. Louis FC
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Louis FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Louisville City Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Louis FC 31 / 100
Louisville City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Louis FC Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: St. Louis FC scored in 65% of their last 17 outings.
Louisville City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: St. Louis FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Louisville City
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Louis FC
(Home) 17 Oct
Louisville City
2 : 0 St. Louis FC
10 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 St. Louis FC
03 Oct
St. Louis FC
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
27 Sept
St. Louis FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
23 Sept
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 St. Louis FC
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
St. Louis FC
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
27 Sept
St. Louis FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
20 Sept
St. Louis FC
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City II
05 Sept
St. Louis FC
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City II
30 Aug
St. Louis FC
1 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 2
Louisville City
(Away) 26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Louisville City
20 Jun
Detroit City
0 : 1 Louisville City
11 Jun
Phoenix Rising
0 : 2 Louisville City
04 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Louisville City
23 May
Miami FC
4 : 3 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reno 1868 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 43:21 | 36 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 30 |
| 3 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25:32 | 14 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers 2 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 20:50 | 9 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 46:17 | 35 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29:32 | 26 |
| 3 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:18 | 24 |
| 4 | San Diego Loyal | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24:34 | 11 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 24:14 | 32 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:28 | 13 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14:25 | 11 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:14 | 33 |
| 2 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 25 |
| 3 | Austin Bold | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 30:27 | 22 |
| 4 | Oklahoma City Energy FC | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 12:29 | 10 |
| 5 | Rio Grande Valley FC Toros | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | 9 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | 35 |
| 2 | St. Louis FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 4 | Sporting Kansas City II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21:30 | 16 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 39:10 | 34 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 30:37 | 15 |
| 4 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20:45 | 9 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:28 | 6 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24:22 | 28 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:19 | 25 |
| 3 | North Carolina FC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 17:21 | 19 |
| 4 | Memphis 901 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:31 | 16 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 3 | Miami FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:34 | 16 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 23:33 | 12 |
Promotion - USL Championship 2020 (Play Offs)