Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Marys vs Phoenix

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Gleeson S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Phoenix advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
St. Marys
15%
Draws
85%
Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Phoenix arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Phoenix, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St. Marys Clean Sheet 15%
Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Marys Phoenix
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 FAI Cup
St. Marys vs Phoenix
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Marys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleeson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Marys 31 / 100
Phoenix 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Marys Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Phoenix conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Phoenix's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

St. Marys's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Marys VS Phoenix
1.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.57
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Marys

(Home)
16 Jan
St. Marys
0 : 2
Cork City
30 Apr
Evergreen United
3 : 2
St. Marys
24 Apr
St. Marys
0 : 1
Avondale United
19 Feb
St. Marys
1 : 3
Cork City
30 Mar
St. Marys
0 : 1
Phoenix
Page 1 of 2

Phoenix

(Away)
08 Jun
Ballynanty Rovers
2 : 1
Phoenix
27 Apr
Bluebell Utd
2 : 3
Phoenix
31 May
Phoenix
0 : 4
Dundalk
30 Mar
St. Marys
0 : 1
Phoenix
25 May
UC Dublin
3 : 1
Phoenix
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3