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St. Maur Lusitanos vs Rousset Ste Victoire Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Diarra L.
67' Event
Mansouria B.
90' Event
Zennouhi Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Maur Lusitanos
15%
Draws
0%
Rousset Ste Victoire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rousset Ste Victoire haven't matched St. Maur Lusitanos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Maur Lusitanos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 20%
Rousset Ste Victoire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Maur Lusitanos Rousset Ste Victoire
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 1.55 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 National 1 - Group C
Rousset Ste Victoire vs St. Maur Lusitanos
0:3
Dec 13, 2025 National 1 - Group C
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Rousset Ste Victoire
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Zennouhi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Rousset Ste Victoire Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansouria B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 85 / 100
Rousset Ste Victoire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Maur Lusitanos Rousset Ste Victoire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Rousset Ste Victoire let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

St. Maur Lusitanos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Rousset Ste Victoire registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS Rousset Ste Victoire
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
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Rousset Ste Victoire

(Away)
16 May
Andrezieux
6 : 3
Rousset Ste Victoire
09 May
Rousset Ste Victoire
1 : 3
Cannes
02 May
Hyeres
1 : 0
Rousset Ste Victoire
25 Apr
Rousset Ste Victoire
0 : 3
St. Maur Lusitanos
18 Apr
Saint Priest
2 : 0
Rousset Ste Victoire
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes 30 17 9 4 53:30 60
2 Nimes 30 18 5 7 46:25 59
3 St. Maur Lusitanos 30 15 10 5 40:24 55
4 Rumilly Vallieres 30 13 8 9 49:36 47
5 Hyeres 30 11 12 7 36:27 45
6 Andrezieux 30 12 9 9 48:33 45
7 Istres 30 11 10 9 42:32 43
8 Creteil 30 12 7 11 36:34 43
9 GOAL FC 30 11 8 11 38:46 40
10 RC Grasse 30 9 9 12 41:42 36
11 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 9 8 13 37:50 35
12 Limonest 30 9 7 14 36:49 34
13 FC Bobigny 93 30 7 11 12 29:31 32
14 Toulon 30 8 10 12 38:47 31
15 Saint Priest 30 7 9 14 35:50 30
16 Rousset Ste Victoire 30 2 6 22 28:76 12
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)