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St. Michaels vs University College Cork

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The FAI Cup 2014 game between St. Michaels and University College Cork finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Michaels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Michaels
6%
Draws
4%
University College Cork
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Michaels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Michaels have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — University College Cork are scoring more at 0.75.
  • St. Michaels are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal FAI Cup 2014 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 20%
University College Cork Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Michaels University College Cork
Matches Played 14 17
Wins 4 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2014 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs University College Cork
4:2
Jun 8, 2014 FAI Cup
University College Cork vs St. Michaels
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Michaels 85 / 100
University College Cork 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Michaels University College Cork

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ST. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: University College Cork conceded in 94% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: University College Cork has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

St. Michaels's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. Michaels VS University College Cork
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks-
TBD-
Leixlip United1
St. Patricks CY2
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
Cork City-
TBD-
TBD-
St Mochta's-
Limerick-
TBD-
TBD-
Bohemians-
Avondale United4
Carrigaline Utd1
TBD-
Collinstown-
University College Cork2
Swilly Rovers1
St Francis1
St. Michaels2
Wexford-
TBD-
TBD-
Bray-
Belgrove1
Drumcondra FC0
TBD-
Finn Harps-
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheriff YC-
Athlone-
TBD-
TBD-
Longford-
Galway United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Sligo Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundalk-
Drogheda-
TBD-
TBD-
Cockhill-
Phoenix3
Bluebell Utd2
TBD-
Ballynanty Rovers-
Malahide United2
Tolka1
TBD-
Mayfield Utd-
Cobh Ramblers-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
1/16-finals
St. Patricks3
St. Patricks CY0
Waterford0
Shelbourne1
Cork City6
St Mochta's0
Limerick1
Bohemians2
Avondale United2
Collinstown0
University College Cork2
St. Michaels4
Wexford1
Bray0
Belgrove0
Finn Harps1
Shamrock Rovers4
Sheriff YC0
Athlone0
Longford2
Galway United3
UC Dublin1
Sligo Rovers0
Dundalk3
Drogheda4
Cockhill2
Phoenix1
Ballynanty Rovers2
Malahide United3
Mayfield Utd1
Cobh Ramblers0
Derry City2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks2
Shelbourne1
Cork City2
Bohemians3
Avondale United2
St. Michaels0
Wexford1
Finn Harps2
Shamrock Rovers3
Longford0
Galway United1
Dundalk2
Drogheda4
Ballynanty Rovers0
Malahide United0
Derry City3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks3
Bohemians2
Avondale United2
Finn Harps5
Shamrock Rovers2
Dundalk1
Drogheda2
Derry City7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks6
Finn Harps1
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City3
Final
St. Patricks2
Derry City0