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St. Mirren vs Dundee FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren host Dundee FC in the Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. St. Mirren have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Dundee FC's 1.55 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, St. Mirren have won 1 to Dundee FC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Dundee FC to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St. Mirren
20%
Draws
51%
Dundee FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dundee FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dundee FC haven't matched St. Mirren's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 16%
Dundee FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Dundee FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee FC
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premiership
Dundee FC vs St. Mirren
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 36 / 100
Dundee FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Dundee FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Dundee FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St. Mirren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Dundee FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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Dundee FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
06 Sept
Hearts
2 : 1
Dundee FC
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
30 Aug
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Hibernian
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)