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St. Mirren vs Hibernian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Mirren host Hibernian in the Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. Hibernian have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while St. Mirren have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Hibernian slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Hibernian. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
St. Mirren
15%
Draws
85%
Hibernian
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hibernian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Mirren lately — more wins on the board than Hibernian.
  • Hibernian are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 13%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Hibernian
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs St. Mirren
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Hibernian
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs St. Mirren
1:1
May 14, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Hibernian
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Hibernian
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 14 / 100
Hibernian 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Hibernian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernian Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Hibernian let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hibernian registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Hibernian
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
17 Oct
Aberdeen
3 : 1
St. Mirren
10 Oct
Hearts
5 : 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
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Hibernian

(Away)
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Dundee Utd
1 : 0
Hibernian
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)