Sport Picks
St. Patricks vs Derry City
Ireland
Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin 
Match Events
55'
55'
Duffy M.
61'
61'
Cotter B.
66'
66'
Sub
Keena A. In: Mata M. A.
Out: Keena A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Patricks have won more games recently than Derry City.
- Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%
Derry City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Patricks | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
1:1
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier Division
Derry City vs St. Patricks
2:2
Jun 23, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Derry City
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Patricks 68 / 100
Derry City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Patricks Derry City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Derry City let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
St. Patricks VS Derry City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Patricks
(Home) 19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
Derry City
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Galway United | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
