Sport Picks
St. Patricks vs Dundalk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin 
Match Events
5'
5'
Burns B.
12'
12'
Cornwall R.
24'
24'
Dervin A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Dundalk finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Dundalk on wins alone.
- St. Patricks are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 12%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Patricks | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
0:4
Jul 24, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Dundalk
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
2:0
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Dundalk
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Patricks Compare
Top Goalscorer Hoare S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Dundalk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Patricks 83 / 100
Dundalk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Patricks Dundalk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dundalk conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
St. Patricks's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
St. Patricks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Patricks VS Dundalk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Patricks
(Home) 19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 3
Dundalk
(Away) 02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2 Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3 Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
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11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1 Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3 Dundalk
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 Dundalk
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Dundalk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52:32 | 62 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57:38 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:55 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39:54 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)
