Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Patricks vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
St. Patricks Logo

St. Patricks

1 - 1
FT
Dundalk Logo

Dundalk

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Burns B.
12'
Cornwall R.
24'
Dervin A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Dundalk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
St. Patricks
35%
Draws
27%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Dundalk on wins alone.
  • St. Patricks are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 16%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Dundalk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Dundalk
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
2:0
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Dundalk
4:0
Sep 5, 2024 Premier Division
Dundalk vs St. Patricks
1:2
Jun 3, 2024 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Dundalk
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoare S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dundalk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 48 / 100
Dundalk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: St. Patricks stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Dundalk has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Dundalk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1
Wexford
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Dundalk

(Away)
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Dundalk
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1
Sligo Rovers
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)