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St. Patricks vs Galway United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Edmondson R.
Assist: Turner L.
17' Event
Leavy K.
Assist: Brown J.
23' Event
Keena A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Galway United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
37%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Galway United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 20%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Galway United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
3:0
May 1, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs St. Patricks
2:2
Mar 2, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Galway United
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Galway United
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Edmondson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leavy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Galway United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 58 / 100
Galway United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Galway United conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St. Patricks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Galway United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
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Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)