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St. Patricks vs Monaghan United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Aug 31, 2012
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monaghan United have shipped 2.09 goals a game lately, while St. Patricks have conceded 0.91 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor St. Patricks slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2012, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 0.81) point toward St. Patricks. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
37%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Monaghan United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 20%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Monaghan United
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 17 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.63 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2012 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Monaghan United
0:0
Aug 26, 2012 FAI Cup
Monaghan United vs St. Patricks
0:0
Jun 1, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs St. Patricks
0:4
Mar 16, 2012 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Monaghan United
1:1
Sep 7, 2009 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Monaghan United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 76 / 100
Monaghan United 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaghan United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

St. Patricks scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: St. Patricks stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 7

Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)