Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Pauli II vs Concordia Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2010/2011 game between St. Pauli II and Concordia Hamburg finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. Pauli II
44%
Draws
20%
Concordia Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Pauli II haven't matched Concordia Hamburg's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Pauli II here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 16%
Concordia Hamburg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Concordia Hamburg
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2011 Oberliga Hamburg
St. Pauli II vs Concordia Hamburg
5:1
Nov 23, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II
0:4
May 2, 2009 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II
0:3
Oct 18, 2008 Oberliga Hamburg
St. Pauli II vs Concordia Hamburg
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 36 / 100
Concordia Hamburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Concordia Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli II found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (25 games).

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Concordia Hamburg conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

St. Pauli II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli II

(Home)
12 Jul
St. Pauli II
5 : 5
Verden
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2
St. Pauli II
16 May
Meppen
4 : 2
St. Pauli II
10 May
St. Pauli II
1 : 1
Hamburger II
06 May
St. Pauli II
1 : 1
Bremer
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Concordia Hamburg

(Away)
19 May
Concordia Hamburg
1 : 1
Kosova
14 May
Halstenbek-Rellingen
2 : 1
Concordia Hamburg
09 May
Pinneberg
0 : 0
Concordia Hamburg
07 May
Concordia Hamburg
4 : 3
TuS Osdorf
28 Apr
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
0 : 2
Concordia Hamburg
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