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St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli II play Drochtersen / Assel in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Pauli II averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Drochtersen / Assel averaged 2.61 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, St. Pauli II won 0, Drochtersen / Assel won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for St. Pauli II and 2.13 for Drochtersen / Assel. This points to a Drochtersen / Assel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
St. Pauli II
28%
Draws
51%
Drochtersen / Assel
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Drochtersen / Assel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • St. Pauli II picked up more points recently compared to Drochtersen / Assel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Drochtersen / Assel Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Drochtersen / Assel
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 4 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
2:4
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Regionalliga North
Drochtersen / Assel vs St. Pauli II
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
0:5
May 11, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Drochtersen / Assel
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Goguadze N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Drochtersen / Assel Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamid A. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hyseni H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 21 / 100
Drochtersen / Assel 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Drochtersen / Assel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Drochtersen / Assel or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Pauli II attacking → ← attacking Drochtersen / Assel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli II scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Drochtersen / Assel let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

St. Pauli II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Drochtersen / Assel lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25