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St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ahlstrand E.
40' Event
Goguadze N.
54' Event
Sabah H.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North game between St. Pauli II and Eintracht Norderstedt finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
St. Pauli II
20%
Draws
36%
Eintracht Norderstedt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eintracht Norderstedt come out ahead of St. Pauli II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Pauli II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 12%
Eintracht Norderstedt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Eintracht Norderstedt
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt
5:0
Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Regionalliga North
Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II
3:2
Sep 7, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Regionalliga North
Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabah H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ahlstrand E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Eintracht Norderstedt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 83 / 100
Eintracht Norderstedt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Eintracht Norderstedt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eintracht Norderstedt has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: St. Pauli II scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

St. Pauli II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS Eintracht Norderstedt
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli II

(Home)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 6

Eintracht Norderstedt

(Away)
26 Sept
Jeddeloh
0 : 4
Eintracht Norderstedt
20 Sept
Eintracht Norderstedt
2 : 5
Werder Bremen II
16 Sept
Eintracht Norderstedt
3 : 3
Hannoverscher SC
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
06 Sept
Eintracht Norderstedt
1 : 1
Lubeck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 12 9 1 2 36:14 28
2 Drochtersen / Assel 12 8 1 3 40:18 25
3 Hannover II 12 7 3 2 26:16 24
4 Schoningen 12 7 3 2 19:17 24
5 Phonix Lubeck 11 7 2 2 30:9 23
6 VfB Oldenburg 11 7 1 3 33:17 22
7 Emden 12 5 3 4 32:32 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eimsbutteler 12 4 2 6 21:33 14
10 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
11 Hannoverscher SC 12 3 4 5 17:26 13
12 Lubeck 12 2 6 4 14:21 12
13 Werder Bremen II 11 3 2 6 16:20 11
14 Todesfelde 12 3 2 7 21:38 11
15 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
16 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
17 Jeddeloh 12 3 1 8 18:32 10
18 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)