Sport Picks
St. Pauli II vs Phonix Lubeck Prediction & H2H Stats
Germany
Regionalliga North 
Match Events
15'
15'
Markvoort Beke J.
52'
52'
Kaba W.
73'
73'
Moser A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phonix Lubeck
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Phonix Lubeck lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli II.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Phonix Lubeck taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Phonix Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Pauli II | Phonix Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Phonix Lubeck
2:2
Apr 22, 2026 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs St. Pauli II
3:0
Aug 27, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Phonix Lubeck
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs St. Pauli II
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Phonix Lubeck
3:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Pauli II Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaba W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moser A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Phonix Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Markvoort Beke J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Touray O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Pauli II 14 / 100
Phonix Lubeck 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Pauli II Phonix Lubeck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Phonix Lubeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
St. Pauli II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Phonix Lubeck conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: St. Pauli II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
St. Pauli II VS Phonix Lubeck
2 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Pauli II
(Home) 26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2 Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0 St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3 St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0 Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2 St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2 Emden
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0 Eintracht Norderstedt
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
16 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 1 Werder Bremen II
09 Aug
St. Pauli II
0 : 1 Bremer
Page 1 of 3
Phonix Lubeck
(Away) 19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
16 Sept
Phonix Lubeck
9 : 0 Todesfelde
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
02 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
02 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 3 Phonix Lubeck
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2 Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg 08 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Schoningen | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 3 | Phonix Lubeck | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28:6 | 23 |
| 4 | Drochtersen / Assel | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 33:16 | 22 |
| 5 | VfB Oldenburg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Hannover II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Emden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 31:30 | 18 |
| 8 | Delmenhorst | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 23:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Eimsbutteler | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:33 | 13 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 | Lubeck | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 13 | St. Pauli II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:21 | 10 |
| 14 | Jeddeloh | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:25 | 10 |
| 15 | Hamburger II | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 10 |
| 16 | Hannoverscher SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 10 |
| 17 | Bremer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 18 | Todesfelde | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 19:37 | 8 |
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)
