Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Pauli U19 vs Dresden U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli U19 in this DFB Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Pauli U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
St. Pauli U19
15%
Draws
39%
Dresden U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Pauli U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Pauli U19 have won more games recently than Dresden U19.
  • Win probability leans St. Pauli U19's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
St. Pauli U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli U19 Dresden U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.32 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
3:3
Mar 28, 2026 DFB Youth League
St. Pauli U19 vs Dresden U19
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Junioren Bundesliga North
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga North
St. Pauli U19 vs Dresden U19
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 Junioren Bundesliga North
Dresden U19 vs St. Pauli U19
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli U19 76 / 100
Dresden U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli U19 Dresden U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauli U19 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Dresden U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: St. Pauli U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli U19 VS Dresden U19
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli U19

(Home)
12 Sept
St. Pauli U19
1 : 3
Werder Bremen U19
30 Aug
St. Pauli U19
1 : 2
Koln U19
23 Aug
Berliner AK 07 U19
0 : 1
St. Pauli U19
15 Aug
Hansa Rostock U19
1 : 1
St. Pauli U19
09 Aug
St. Pauli U19
3 : 1
Hamburger U19
Page 1 of 7

Dresden U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Dresden U19
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
15 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
4 : 2
Dresden U19
Page 1 of 7