Sport Picks

Germany

Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli

Mainz

0.63

Goals Scored

1.38

2.13

Goals Conceded

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75

100%

Over 1.5

88%

50%

Over 2.5

38%

13%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Mainz hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win24%

Draw27%

Away Win49%

Goals & Scoring

BTTS/GG: Yes56%

Over 1.5 Goals81%

Over 2.5 Goals53%

Match Events

Tietz P.

Assist: Becker S.

40'

Mwene P.

Assist: Widmer S.

46'

Sub

Ritzka L. In: Dzwigala A.

Out: Ritzka L.

Previous Encounters

03 May 26 BUN

St. Pauli

1:2

✓ Mainz

21 Dec 25 BUN

Mainz

0:0

St. Pauli

22 Feb 25 BUN

Mainz ✓

2:0

St. Pauli

05 Oct 24 BUN

St. Pauli

0:3

✓ Mainz

14 May 11 BUN

Mainz ✓

2:1

St. Pauli

Recent Form (Last 5)

St. Pauli

Home Team

16 May

St. Pauli

1 : 3

Wolfsburg

09 May

RB Leipzig

2 : 1

St. Pauli

03 May

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Mainz

25 Apr

Heidenheim

2 : 0

St. Pauli

17 Apr

St. Pauli

1 : 1

1. FC Koln

Mainz

Away Team

16 May

Heidenheim

0 : 2

Mainz

10 May

Mainz

1 : 3

Union Berlin

03 May

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Mainz

25 Apr

Mainz

3 : 4

Bayern Munich

19 Apr

B. Monchengladbach

1 : 1

Mainz

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	34	28	5	1	122:36	89
2	Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70:34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66:47	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71:49	62
5	Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65:52	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68:47	59
7	Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51:57	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61:65	44
9	Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45:61	43
10	Mainz	34	10	10	14	44:53	40
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44:58	39
12	B. Monchengladbach	34	9	11	14	42:53	38
13	Hamburger	34	9	11	14	40:54	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	7	11	16	49:63	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37:60	32
16	Wolfsburg	34	7	8	19	45:69	29
17	Heidenheim	34	6	8	20	41:72	26
18	St. Pauli	34	6	8	20	29:60	26

Match Preview: St. Pauli vs Mainz

The upcoming fixture between St. Pauli and Mainz promises to be an engaging encounter in Bundesliga. Scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 13:30 UTC, the match will take place at Millerntor-Stadion. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. St. Pauli will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Mainz aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between St. Pauli and Mainz are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. St. Pauli will try to assert dominance early, whereas Mainz might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either St. Pauli or Mainz. Momentum is crucial in Bundesliga, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.