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St. Pauli vs Nurnberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauli host Nurnberg in the 2. Bundesliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: St. Pauli at 1.3 goals for, 1.6 against; Nurnberg at 2.54 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor St. Pauli slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.94, favoring Nurnberg. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
St. Pauli
35%
Draws
40%
Nurnberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nurnberg have won more games recently than St. Pauli.
  • St. Pauli are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. Pauli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli Nurnberg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.3 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs St. Pauli
0:2
Oct 7, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Nurnberg
5:1
Jan 29, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs St. Pauli
0:1
Jul 16, 2022 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Nurnberg
3:2
Apr 29, 2022 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Nurnberg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli 40 / 100
Nurnberg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli Nurnberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St. Pauli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Pauli's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nurnberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli VS Nurnberg
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli

(Home)
23 Oct
Darmstadt
0 : 0
St. Pauli
17 Oct
Hannover
1 : 1
St. Pauli
11 Oct
St. Pauli
2 : 0
Karlsruher
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
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Nurnberg

(Away)
16 Oct
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
Nurnberg
10 Oct
Nurnberg
4 : 4
Wolfsburg
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 8 7 1 0 19:8 22
2 Nurnberg 8 5 3 0 21:11 18
3 Wolfsburg 9 4 4 1 23:14 16
4 Kaiserslautern 8 4 3 1 8:4 15
5 Heidenheim 8 4 2 2 15:15 14
6 Magdeburg 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
7 St. Pauli 9 2 6 1 11:9 12
8 Arminia Bielefeld 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
9 Energie Cottbus 8 2 3 3 16:17 9
10 Greuther Furth 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
11 Dresden 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
12 VfL Osnabruck 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
13 Karlsruher 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
14 Bochum 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
15 Hannover 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
16 Darmstadt 9 2 2 5 8:18 8
17 Braunschweig 8 2 1 5 13:15 7
18 Holstein Kiel 8 0 5 3 7:11 5
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)