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St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St. Pauli
30%
Draws
41%
Werder Bremen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Werder Bremen lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauli.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on St. Pauli taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 14%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli Werder Bremen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli 66 / 100
Werder Bremen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli Werder Bremen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

St. Pauli scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

St. Pauli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli VS Werder Bremen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli

(Home)
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0
St. Pauli
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Werder Bremen

(Away)
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
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