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St. Pauls United vs Metropolitan FA

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Soriano J.
61' Event
Ramos H.

AI Match Summary

Metropolitan FA in this CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Metropolitan FA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. Pauls United
15%
Draws
76%
Metropolitan FA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitan FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Metropolitan FA have won more games recently than St. Pauls United.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitan FA taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
St. Pauls United Clean Sheet 11%
Metropolitan FA Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauls United Metropolitan FA
Matches Played 6 15
Wins 0 8
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 0.33 1.67
Goals Conceded 2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2023 CFU Club Shield
St. Pauls United vs Metropolitan FA
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauls United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Metropolitan FA Compare

Top Goalscorer Soriano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauls United 10 / 100
Metropolitan FA 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauls United Metropolitan FA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitan FA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: St. Pauls United scored in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Metropolitan FA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 15 matches.

Solid form: St. Pauls United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauls United VS Metropolitan FA
0.33 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauls United

(Home)
24 Jul
St. Pauls United
0 : 3
Helenites
28 Jul
Britannia
2 : 0
St. Pauls United
26 Jul
St. Pauls United
0 : 2
Guyana Defence Force
07 Aug
St. Pauls United
1 : 1
Junior Stars
05 Aug
St. Pauls United
1 : 2
Jong Holland
Page 1 of 2

Metropolitan FA

(Away)
31 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
28 Jul
Helenites
1 : 2
Metropolitan FA
26 Jul
Metropolitan FA
4 : 0
North Leeward
30 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1
Atletico Pantoja
27 Jul
Metropolitan FA
2 : 0
SWA Sharks
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitan FA 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Jong Holland 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 St. Pauls United 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Junior Stars 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 2 2 0 0 15:1 6
2 Scholars International 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 South East 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Etoile Matoury 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Universidad O&M 3 1 0 2 10:6 3
4 B1 Castries 3 0 0 3 2:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sando 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 SV Dakota 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Solidarite Scolaire 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 SWA Sharks 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)