Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Petersburg FC vs Tampa Bay U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Petersburg FC
6%
Draws
4%
Tampa Bay U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Petersburg FC have won more games recently than Tampa Bay U23.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Petersburg FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 19%
Tampa Bay U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Petersburg FC Tampa Bay U23
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs St. Petersburg FC
1:3
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Tampa Bay U23
1:1
May 21, 2024 USL League Two
Tampa Bay U23 vs St. Petersburg FC
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Petersburg FC 85 / 100
Tampa Bay U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Petersburg FC Tampa Bay U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Petersburg FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tampa Bay U23 let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

St. Petersburg FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Petersburg FC VS Tampa Bay U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%