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St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ardagger in this Niederosterreich 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ardagger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St. Polten (Am)
39%
Draws
31%
Ardagger
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: St. Polten (Am) at 1.63 per game, Ardagger at 1.38.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. Polten (Am) Clean Sheet 18%
Ardagger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten (Am) Ardagger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Polten (Am)
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:0
Aug 14, 2024 Niederosterreich
Ardagger vs St. Polten (Am)
0:0
May 6, 2023 Niederosterreich
St. Polten (Am) vs Ardagger
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten (Am) 31 / 100
Ardagger 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten (Am) Ardagger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten (Am) has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: St. Polten (Am) scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Ardagger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten (Am) VS Ardagger
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%