Sport Picks

Austria

2. Liga 2025/2026 NV Arena

St. Polten

1 - 0

Hogo Hertha Wels

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

Sub

Brugger M. In: Muller P.

Out: Brugger M.

64'

Sub

Ferstl V. In: Gschweidl B.

Out: Ferstl V.

71'

Stendera M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga 2025/2026 game between St. Polten and Hogo Hertha Wels finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

St. Polten

Draws

Hogo Hertha Wels

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

St. Polten carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on St. Polten taking it.
Regular 2. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
St. Polten have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

St. Polten Clean Sheet 20%

Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Polten	Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	12
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 2. Liga

St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Nov 28, 2025 2. Liga

Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup

Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 85 / 100

Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Polten Hogo Hertha Wels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

St. Polten went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

St. Polten scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS Hogo Hertha Wels

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lustenau	28	16	6	6	40:26	54
2	St. Polten	28	16	5	7	44:26	53
3	Admira	28	12	12	4	50:29	48
4	Floridsdorfer AC Wien	28	14	6	8	42:18	48
5	FC Liefering	28	13	8	7	47:41	47
6	Amstetten	28	11	11	6	41:34	44
7	First Vienna	28	11	7	10	30:25	40
8	Austria Vienna (Am)	28	11	6	11	33:40	39
9	A. Salzburg	28	9	10	9	36:37	37
10	Hogo Hertha Wels	28	9	6	13	36:37	33
11	Rapid Vienna II	28	9	5	14	33:45	32
12	A. Klagenfurt	28	9	6	13	33:44	30
13	Kapfenberg	28	8	4	16	31:53	28
14	Sturm II	28	5	6	17	25:45	21
15	SW Bregenz	28	3	10	15	36:57	16
16	Stripfing	0	0	0	0	0:0	0