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Stadium Background

St. Polten vs A. Salzburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Szerencsi N.
24'
Gabbichler L.
46'
Sub
Hartwig L. In: Rupp P.
Out: Hartwig L.

AI Match Summary

St. Polten in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
St. Polten
20%
Draws
15%
A. Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • St. Polten have won more games recently than A. Salzburg.
  • Win probability leans St. Polten's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Polten here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 16%
A. Salzburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten A. Salzburg
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.32 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs A. Salzburg
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs A. Salzburg
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs St. Polten
1:2
Apr 15, 2016 2. Liga
A. Salzburg vs St. Polten
0:1
Nov 27, 2015 2. Liga
St. Polten vs A. Salzburg
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Amon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

A. Salzburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 57 / 100
A. Salzburg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten A. Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St. Polten's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: A. Salzburg conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: St. Polten stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS A. Salzburg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1
St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
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A. Salzburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
3 : 3
A. Salzburg
19 Sept
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 1
A. Salzburg
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
05 Sept
A. Salzburg
0 : 4
First Vienna
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 First Vienna 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Amstetten 8 3 4 1 15:12 13
5 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
11 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
12 St. Polten 8 3 0 5 7:9 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 8 1 0 7 9:18 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)