Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels

Austria Austria

2. Liga 2025/2026 NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Brugger M. In: Muller P.
Out: Brugger M.
64'
Sub
Ferstl V. In: Gschweidl B.
Out: Ferstl V.
71' Event
Stendera M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga 2025/2026 game between St. Polten and Hogo Hertha Wels finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Polten
6%
Draws
4%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hogo Hertha Wels's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what St. Polten have produced (1).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Polten taking it.
  • Regular 2. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. Polten have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 20%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 85 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

St. Polten scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: St. Polten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS Hogo Hertha Wels
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
17 Jul
St. Polten
1 : 3
Liberec
03 Jul
St. Polten
1 : 1
Artis Brno
26 Jun
Horn
1 : 3
St. Polten
14 May
St. Polten
1 : 0
Hogo Hertha Wels
08 May
Kapfenberg
0 : 3
St. Polten
Page 1 of 6

Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
18 Jul
Taborsko
2 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
12 Jul
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna
08 Jul
Schallerbach
2 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
04 Jul
Union Gurten
2 : 3
Hogo Hertha Wels
27 Jun
Hogo Hertha Wels
0 : 5
LASK Linz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lustenau28166640:2654
2St. Polten28165744:2653
3Admira281212450:2948
4Floridsdorfer AC Wien28146842:1848
5FC Liefering28138747:4147
6Amstetten281111641:3444
7First Vienna281171030:2540
8Austria Vienna (Am)281161133:4039
9A. Salzburg28910936:3737
10Hogo Hertha Wels28961336:3733
11Rapid Vienna II28951433:4532
12A. Klagenfurt28961333:4430
13Kapfenberg28841631:5328
14Sturm II28561725:4521
15SW Bregenz283101536:5716
16Stripfing00000:00
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)