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St Quentin vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

National 2 - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vouama W.
23'
Gyeboaho J.
24' Event
Hervieu L.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D game between St Quentin and Fleury-Merogis finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fleury-Merogis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St Quentin
20%
Draws
51%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury-Merogis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fleury-Merogis come out ahead of St Quentin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fleury-Merogis a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fleury-Merogis have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
St Quentin Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Quentin Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs St Quentin
3:1
Dec 16, 2023 National 2 - Group D
St Quentin vs Fleury-Merogis
1:5
Apr 15, 2023 National 1 - Group B
St Quentin vs Fleury-Merogis
1:0
Nov 12, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Fleury-Merogis vs St Quentin
3:0
May 21, 2022 National 1 - Group B
St Quentin vs Fleury-Merogis
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Quentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Colin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavigne V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vouama W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Quentin 12 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Quentin Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury-Merogis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleury-Merogis let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

St Quentin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: St Quentin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fleury-Merogis
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Quentin

(Home)
18 May
Bourg Peronnas
5 : 3
St Quentin
11 May
St Quentin
1 : 1
Furiani Agliani
27 Apr
Fleury-Merogis
3 : 1
St Quentin
20 Apr
Auxerre II
5 : 0
St Quentin
13 Apr
St Quentin
2 : 0
Wasquehal
Page 1 of 6

Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1
Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
20 Aug
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Orleans
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bourg Peronnas 26 16 5 5 48:25 50
2 Fleury-Merogis 26 13 7 6 44:21 46
3 Furiani Agliani 26 10 13 3 31:18 43
4 FC Bobigny 93 26 10 12 4 39:30 42
5 Creteil 26 10 7 9 30:29 37
6 Biesheim 26 9 8 9 29:34 35
7 Wasquehal 26 9 7 10 35:39 34
8 Feignies-Aulnoye 26 9 7 10 28:32 34
9 Haguenau 26 9 5 12 32:47 32
10 Colmar 26 9 4 13 35:41 31
11 Auxerre II 26 8 6 12 32:32 30
12 Macon 26 6 10 10 34:37 28
13 Besancon RC 26 6 7 13 26:34 25
14 St Quentin 26 6 6 14 37:61 24
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