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St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Daio Wasabi Stayen
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Muja A.
Assist: Hata T.
40'
Agyekum L.
57' Event
Diop E.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between St. Truiden and Cercle Brugge finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Truiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Truiden
6%
Draws
4%
Cercle Brugge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Truiden come out ahead of Cercle Brugge on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Truiden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 18%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Cercle Brugge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge
3:1
Dec 27, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Cercle Brugge
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Muja A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matsuzawa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 85 / 100
Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Cercle Brugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Truiden has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Truiden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Cercle Brugge let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Cercle Brugge
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royale Union SG30199250:1766
2Club Brugge30203759:3663
3St. Truiden30183947:3557
4Gent301361149:4345
5KV Mechelen30129939:3745
6Anderlecht301281043:3944
7Genk301191046:4742
8St. Liege301171227:3540
9Westerlo301091136:4039
10Antwerp30981331:3235
11Charleroi30971438:4234
12Leuven30971432:4334
13Waregem30881438:4732
14Cercle Brugge307101339:4731
15RAAL La Louviere306131130:3731
16Dender303101724:5119