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St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Mac Allister K.
23' Event
Patris L.
Assist: Biondic M.
47'
Sissako A.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between St. Truiden and Royale Union SG finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Royale Union SG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
61%
Royale Union SG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Royale Union SG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Royale Union SG come out ahead of St. Truiden on wins alone.
  • Model gives Royale Union SG a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Royale Union SG have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Royale Union SG
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG
0:3
May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer Patris L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mac Allister K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 10 / 100
Royale Union SG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Royale Union SG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royale Union SG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Truiden scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Royale Union SG let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: St. Truiden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Royale Union SG
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
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Royale Union SG

(Away)
20 Sept
Antwerp
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
9 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
10 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
11 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
12 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)