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St. Truiden vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. St. Truiden have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Waregem's 1.9 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor St. Truiden slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.31) back St. Truiden to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
21%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • St. Truiden haven't matched Waregem's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St. Truiden a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Truiden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 18%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Waregem
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Waregem
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs St. Truiden
0:2
Jan 11, 2023 Belgian Cup
Waregem vs St. Truiden
2:0
Dec 27, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Waregem
2:0
Sep 17, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs St. Truiden
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 85 / 100
Waregem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Truiden scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Waregem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St. Truiden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Waregem
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
25 Oct
Club Brugge
3 : 2
St. Truiden
22 Oct
Midtjylland
0 : 1
St. Truiden
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
15 Oct
St. Truiden
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
11 Oct
KV Mechelen
4 : 3
St. Truiden
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Waregem

(Away)
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 9 8 1 0 19:4 25
2 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 22:6 24
3 Royale Union SG 9 7 2 0 27:6 23
4 Charleroi 9 7 0 2 16:10 21
5 Anderlecht 9 5 1 3 9:10 16
6 Genk 9 4 3 2 18:13 15
7 Westerlo 9 4 2 3 24:21 14
8 Lommel SK 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
9 St. Liege 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
10 Waregem 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
11 Antwerp 9 3 1 5 15:20 10
12 SK Beveren 9 3 1 5 12:18 10
13 St. Truiden 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
14 RAAL La Louviere 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
16 Leuven 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 9 0 3 6 11:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)