Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Venera vs Xaghra

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with St. Venera advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Venera
15%
Draws
0%
Xaghra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Venera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xaghra come out ahead of St. Venera on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Venera a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Xaghra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Venera, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Venera Clean Sheet 10%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Venera Xaghra
Matches Played 14 19
Wins 5 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.74
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2019 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs St. Venera
2:0
Sep 11, 2015 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
5:3
Sep 4, 2013 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
1:2
Oct 21, 2012 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Venera 83 / 100
Xaghra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Venera Xaghra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Venera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Xaghra conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Xaghra's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

St. Venera found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (14 games).

Scoring Trends

St. Venera VS Xaghra
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Venera

(Home)
06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0
St. Venera
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3
Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2
Kalkara
09 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 4
St. Venera
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Xaghra

(Away)
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1
Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6
Hamrun
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 5
Qala Saints 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Sirens 3
Mgarr -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Victoria Wanderers 3
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur -
TBD -
Xghajra 0
Mtarfa 5
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 8
Sannat Lions 2
Kalkara 0
Mdina 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zabbar -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Xaghra 2
Luqa 4
Qrendi 1
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Munxar 1
Xbiex 2
Kercem Ajax 4
Ghajnsielem 2
St. Lawrence 0
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Pembroke 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Gzira 1
Sirens 0
Mgarr 1
Victoria Wanderers 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Dingli Swallows 1
TBD -
Balzan FC -
St. Andrews 2
Birzebbuga 0
Vittoriosa 1
Msida 2
Zurrieq 4
Fgura 0
Kirkop 0
Mqabba FC 3
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gharghur 4
Mtarfa 1
Siggiewi 1
Lija 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zejtun 3
San Gwann 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Nadur 1
Sannat Lions 6
Swieqi 1
Marsa 1
Zabbar 2
Pieta 1
St. George's FC 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Zebbug 3
Mellieha 0
TBD -
Sliema -
St. Venera 3
Xaghra 2
Luqa 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 6
Xbiex 0
Kercem Ajax 1
Senglea 2
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Qormi 5
Pembroke 2
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 1
Victoria Wanderers 0
Naxxar Lions 3
Balzan FC 4
St. Andrews 2
Msida 0
Zurrieq 1
Mqabba FC 2
Floriana 2
Melita 0
Gharghur 1
Lija 2
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Zejtun 1
Nadur 3
Sannat Lions 2
Zabbar 1
Pieta 0
Rabat Ajax 1
Zebbug 2
Sliema 1
St. Venera 1
Marsaskala FC 3
Gudja 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Qormi 2
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Balzan FC 3
St. Andrews 4
Mqabba FC 1
Floriana 0
Lija 1
Valletta 2
Nadur 0
Sannat Lions 0
Rabat Ajax 5
Zebbug 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Gudja 0
Hibernians 4
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 0
St. Andrews 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Rabat Ajax 0
Zebbug 0
Hibernians 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 1
Lija 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 3
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3