Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Xaghra in this FA Trophy 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Venera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- St. Venera haven't matched Xaghra's recent run of results.
- St. Venera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Xaghra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor St. Venera, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Venera Clean Sheet 10%
Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Venera | Xaghra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 19 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2019 FA Trophy
Xaghra vs St. Venera
2:0
Sep 11, 2015 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
5:3
Sep 4, 2013 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
1:2
Oct 21, 2012 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Xaghra
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Venera 83 / 100
Xaghra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Venera Xaghra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Venera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Xaghra let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Xaghra's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
St. Venera's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 14 recent games.
Scoring Trends
St. Venera VS Xaghra
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Venera
(Home) 06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0 St. Venera
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3 Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2 Kalkara
09 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 4 St. Venera
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3 Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3 Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2 Kalkara
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3 Victoria Wanderers
02 Dec
St. Venera
0 : 2 Gharghur
24 Oct
St. Venera
2 : 1 Birzebbuga
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Xaghra
(Away) 18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2 Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1 Xaghra
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5 Victoria Hotspurs
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1 Xaghra
03 Mar
Xaghra
0 : 6 Hamrun
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18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2 Xaghra
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1 Xaghra
13 Dec
Msida
5 : 1 Xaghra
10 Feb
Birzebbuga
1 : 4 Xaghra
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1 Xaghra
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Xbiex 4
Ghajnsielem 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Qrendi 2
Swieqi 3
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kercem Ajax 6
St. Lawrence 2
Santa Lucia 1
Luqa 2
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
Sirens 10
Sannat Lions 1
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Munxar 1
Mtarfa 0
Oratory 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 4
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Lija -
Melita -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 2
Nadur 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 1
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Mgarr 2
Attard 0
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Victoria Wanderers 2
Xghajra 0
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
1/32-finals
Gzira 5
Zurrieq 1
Xbiex 0
Pembroke 6
Siggiewi 5
Swieqi 2
Zabbar 3
St. George's FC 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Luqa 2
Fgura 1
Mdina 2
Sirens 1
Marsa 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Zejtun 0
Gudja 1
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Oratory 0
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Lija 4
Melita 3
Nadur 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta 1
Hamrun 0
Xaghra 0
Mqabba FC 1
Senglea 4
Kirkop 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Msida 0
Birzebbuga 1
Zebbug 3
Dingli Swallows 0
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann 4
Marsaxlokk 0
Mgarr 0
St. Andrews 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
Gharghur 1
Mellieha 4
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Qormi -
1/16-finals
Gzira 1
Pembroke 0
Siggiewi 0
St. George's FC 6
Kercem Ajax 5
Mdina 1
Sirens 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Gudja 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 2
Lija 1
Melita 1
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Mqabba FC 0
Senglea 1
Hibernians 6
Balzan FC 5
Birzebbuga 2
Zebbug 1
Sliema 3
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 1
San Gwann 1
St. Andrews 2
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 0
Victoria Wanderers 0
Qormi 1
1/8-finals
Gzira 2
St. George's FC 1
Kercem Ajax 1
Rabat Ajax 5
Naxxar Lions 1
Floriana 0
Mosta FC 0
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Hibernians 0
Balzan FC 1
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 4
St. Andrews 0
Tarxien 0
Qormi 1
Quarter-finals
Gzira 2
Rabat Ajax 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 1
Qormi 3
Semi-finals
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Sliema 1
Qormi 0
Final
Valletta 1
Sliema 0
